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TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SAT SEP 22 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  67.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST TUE SEP 25 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
32.1N  68.9W      41  X  X  X 41   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X 10 10
33.9N  69.1W      12 10  1  1 24   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  9  9
36.0N  68.5W       X  7  7  3 17   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  8  8
BERMUDA            2  4  3  2 11   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  7  7
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  2  1  3   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  6  6
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  1  3  2  6   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  6  6
NORFOLK VA         X  X  2  3  5   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  5  5
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  2  5  7   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  3  3
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  1  6  7   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  7  7
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  7  7   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  4  4
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  9  9   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  3  3
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  9  9   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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