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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SAT SEP 22 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  66.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST TUE SEP 25 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
31.0N  68.5W      41  X  X  X 41   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  8  8
32.5N  69.0W      15  7  1  X 23   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  8  8
35.0N  69.0W       X  4  9  3 16   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  8  8
BERMUDA            1  4  5  2 12   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  8  8
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  1  2  3   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  7  7
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  3  3  6   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  5  5
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  5  3  8   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  4  4
NORFOLK VA         X  X  2  5  7   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  3  3
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  1  8  9   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  2  2
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  1  7  8   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  3  3
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  8  8
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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