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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT SEP 22 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  66.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST TUE SEP 25 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
31.0N  68.6W      41  X  X  X 41   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  1  7  8
32.8N  69.4W      11 12  1  1 25   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  7  7
35.0N  69.5W       X  8  8  3 19   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  7  7
BERMUDA            1  4  3  3 11   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  6  6
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  1  1  2   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  6  6
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  1  3  4   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  6  6
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  3  4  7   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  5  5
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  5  5 10   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  3  3
NORFOLK VA         X  X  2  7  9   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  2  2
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  2  7  9
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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