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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI SEP 21 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  65.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST MON SEP 24 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
29.5N  68.5W      38  X  X  X 38   NORFOLK VA         X  X  1  7  8
31.5N  69.5W       4 16  1  1 22   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  8  8
33.5N  70.0W       X  6  8  3 17   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  6  6
BERMUDA            X  3  4  4 11   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  5  5
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  3  3   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  4  4
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  1  4  5   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  3  3
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  2  5  7   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  3  3
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  3  6  9   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  3  3
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  3  7 10   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
C FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
D FROM  8PM SUN TO  8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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