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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI SEP 21 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  65.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST MON SEP 24 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.4N  68.4W      57  X  X  X 57   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  7  7
29.7N  69.4W      24  9  X  X 33   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  8  8
31.5N  70.0W       X 13  5  2 20   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  6  6
BERMUDA            X  X  4  5  9   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  4  4
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  2  2   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  3  3
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  3  3   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  2  2
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  5  5   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  2  2
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  6  6
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
C FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
D FROM  2PM SUN TO  2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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