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TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT SEP 15 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT TUE SEP 18 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.2N  76.7W      34  1  X  X 35   MYRTLE BEACH SC    2  3  X  X  5
31.9N  73.7W       2 15  1  1 19   WILMINGTON NC      1  4  1  X  6
33.7N  70.5W       X  5  7  2 14   MOREHEAD CITY NC   1  5  1  X  7
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  1  1  2   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  5  2  1  8
MYNN 251N 775W     X  2  1  X  3   NORFOLK VA         X  1  1  1  3
MYGF 266N 787W    11  1  X  X 12   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  1  1  2
BERMUDA            X  X  1  6  7   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  2  2
W PALM BEACH FL    6  1  X  X  7   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  2  2
FT PIERCE FL      52  X  X  X 52   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  1  2  3
COCOA BEACH FL    99  X  X  X 99   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  2  2
DAYTONA BEACH FL  99  X  X  X 99   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  2  2
JACKSONVILLE FL    3  X  X  X  3   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  2  2
SAVANNAH GA        1  1  X  X  2   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  3  3
CHARLESTON SC      2  2  X  X  4   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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