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TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT SEP 15 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  80.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT TUE SEP 18 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.0N  77.5W      39  X  X  1 40   NORFOLK VA         X  1  3  1  5
31.5N  74.5W       3 16  1  X 20   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  3  1  4
33.0N  71.5W       X  5  8  2 15   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  1  2  3
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  1  1  2   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  1  2  3
MYNN 251N 775W     X  1  1  X  2   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  1  3  4
MYGF 266N 787W     3  3  X  1  7   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  3  3
BERMUDA            X  X  X  7  7   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  1  4  5
W PALM BEACH FL    3  1  1  X  5   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  4  4
FT PIERCE FL      61  X  X  X 61   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  3  3
COCOA BEACH FL    99  X  X  X 99   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  2  2
DAYTONA BEACH FL  99  X  X  X 99   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  2  2
JACKSONVILLE FL   30  X  X  X 30   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  2  2
SAVANNAH GA        7  2  X  X  9   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  2  2
CHARLESTON SC      5  4  1  X 10   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  3  3
MYRTLE BEACH SC    2  6  1  X  9   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  2  2
WILMINGTON NC      X  7  2  X  9   TAMPA FL           7  X  X  X  7
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  7  3  X 10   CEDAR KEY FL      11  X  X  X 11
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  6  3  1 10
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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