ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT SEP 15 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT TUE SEP 18 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
30.0N 77.5W 39 X X 1 40 NORFOLK VA X 1 3 1 5
31.5N 74.5W 3 16 1 X 20 OCEAN CITY MD X X 3 1 4
33.0N 71.5W X 5 8 2 15 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 1 2 3
MYSM 241N 745W X X 1 1 2 NEW YORK CITY NY X X 1 2 3
MYNN 251N 775W X 1 1 X 2 MONTAUK POINT NY X X 1 3 4
MYGF 266N 787W 3 3 X 1 7 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 3 3
BERMUDA X X X 7 7 NANTUCKET MA X X 1 4 5
W PALM BEACH FL 3 1 1 X 5 HYANNIS MA X X X 4 4
FT PIERCE FL 61 X X X 61 BOSTON MA X X X 3 3
COCOA BEACH FL 99 X X X 99 PORTLAND ME X X X 2 2
DAYTONA BEACH FL 99 X X X 99 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 2 2
JACKSONVILLE FL 30 X X X 30 EASTPORT ME X X X 2 2
SAVANNAH GA 7 2 X X 9 ST JOHN NB X X X 2 2
CHARLESTON SC 5 4 1 X 10 YARMOUTH NS X X X 3 3
MYRTLE BEACH SC 2 6 1 X 9 HALIFAX NS X X X 2 2
WILMINGTON NC X 7 2 X 9 TAMPA FL 7 X X X 7
MOREHEAD CITY NC X 7 3 X 10 CEDAR KEY FL 11 X X X 11
CAPE HATTERAS NC X 6 3 1 10
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
C FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
D FROM 2AM MON TO 2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
Problems?