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TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT MON SEP 17 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
31.5N 78.5W 28 X 1 X 29 CAPE HATTERAS NC X 4 7 1 12
32.5N 76.0W 1 14 2 X 17 NORFOLK VA X 1 5 2 8
33.5N 73.0W X 2 9 2 13 OCEAN CITY MD X X 4 3 7
MBJT 215N 712W X X X 2 2 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 2 4 6
MYMM 224N 730W X X X 2 2 NEW YORK CITY NY X X 1 4 5
MYSM 241N 745W X X 1 2 3 MONTAUK POINT NY X X 1 5 6
MYGF 266N 787W X 2 X X 2 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 6 6
BERMUDA X X X 4 4 NANTUCKET MA X X X 6 6
FT PIERCE FL 4 X X X 4 HYANNIS MA X X X 6 6
COCOA BEACH FL 99 X X X 99 BOSTON MA X X X 5 5
DAYTONA BEACH FL 99 X X X 99 PORTLAND ME X X X 4 4
JACKSONVILLE FL 66 X X X 66 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 4 4
SAVANNAH GA 24 X X X 24 EASTPORT ME X X X 4 4
CHARLESTON SC 17 2 X X 19 ST JOHN NB X X X 3 3
MYRTLE BEACH SC 5 9 1 X 15 MONCTON NB X X X 2 2
WILMINGTON NC 1 11 1 X 13 YARMOUTH NS X X X 4 4
MOREHEAD CITY NC X 9 3 X 12 HALIFAX NS X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM SAT TO 8AM SUN
C FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN
D FROM 8PM SUN TO 8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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