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TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT MON SEP 17 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
31.5N  78.5W      28  X  1  X 29   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  4  7  1 12
32.5N  76.0W       1 14  2  X 17   NORFOLK VA         X  1  5  2  8
33.5N  73.0W       X  2  9  2 13   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  4  3  7
MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  2  2   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  2  4  6
MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X  2  2   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  1  4  5
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  1  2  3   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  1  5  6
MYGF 266N 787W     X  2  X  X  2   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  6  6
BERMUDA            X  X  X  4  4   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  6  6
FT PIERCE FL       4  X  X  X  4   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  6  6
COCOA BEACH FL    99  X  X  X 99   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  5  5
DAYTONA BEACH FL  99  X  X  X 99   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  4  4
JACKSONVILLE FL   66  X  X  X 66   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  4  4
SAVANNAH GA       24  X  X  X 24   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  4  4
CHARLESTON SC     17  2  X  X 19   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  3  3
MYRTLE BEACH SC    5  9  1  X 15   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  2  2
WILMINGTON NC      1 11  1  X 13   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  4  4
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  9  3  X 12   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
C FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
D FROM  8PM SUN TO  8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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