ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2001 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.6 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT MON SEP 17 2001 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 30.6N 79.4W 26 1 X X 27 CAPE HATTERAS NC X 6 6 2 14 31.7N 77.5W 7 10 2 X 19 NORFOLK VA X 3 4 3 10 33.0N 75.0W X 8 7 2 17 OCEAN CITY MD X 1 4 3 8 MYSM 241N 745W X X 1 1 2 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 2 5 7 MYAK 241N 776W X 1 1 1 3 NEW YORK CITY NY X X 1 5 6 MYNN 251N 775W X 3 2 X 5 MONTAUK POINT NY X X 1 5 6 MYGF 266N 787W 6 4 1 X 11 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 6 6 BERMUDA X X X 3 3 NANTUCKET MA X X X 6 6 MARATHON FL 1 1 X X 2 HYANNIS MA X X X 6 6 MIAMI FL 5 2 X 1 8 BOSTON MA X X X 5 5 W PALM BEACH FL 13 1 1 X 15 PORTLAND ME X X X 3 3 FT PIERCE FL 86 X X X 86 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 3 3 COCOA BEACH FL 99 X X X 99 EASTPORT ME X X X 2 2 DAYTONA BEACH FL 99 X X X 99 YARMOUTH NS X X X 2 2 JACKSONVILLE FL 16 X X X 16 MARCO ISLAND FL 2 2 X X 4 SAVANNAH GA 9 2 X X 11 FT MYERS FL 8 X 1 X 9 CHARLESTON SC 10 3 X 1 14 VENICE FL 50 X X X 50 MYRTLE BEACH SC 6 6 1 X 13 TAMPA FL 99 X X X 99 WILMINGTON NC 2 9 2 X 13 CEDAR KEY FL 6 X X X 6 MOREHEAD CITY NC 1 8 4 1 14 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN C FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN D FROM 2PM SUN TO 2PM MON E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN