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TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU SEP 13 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
27.0N 82.4W 38 X 1 X 39 SAVANNAH GA X 7 4 3 14
28.1N 81.4W 23 2 X 1 26 CHARLESTON SC X 3 5 5 13
29.0N 80.5W 13 4 2 1 20 MYRTLE BEACH SC X 1 4 6 11
MUCM 214N 779W X X X 2 2 WILMINGTON NC X X 3 7 10
MUCF 221N 805W X 1 1 2 4 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 1 7 8
MUSN 216N 826W X 1 1 1 3 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 6 6
MUHA 230N 824W 2 3 2 1 8 NORFOLK VA X X X 5 5
MUAN 219N 850W X 1 X 1 2 OCEAN CITY MD X X X 3 3
MYSM 241N 745W X X X 2 2 KEY WEST FL 12 2 1 1 16
MYEG 235N 758W X X X 2 2 MARCO ISLAND FL 26 1 X X 27
MYAK 241N 776W X X 2 3 5 FT MYERS FL 33 X X X 33
MYNN 251N 775W X 1 1 5 7 VENICE FL 38 X X 1 39
MYGF 266N 787W 2 4 3 4 13 TAMPA FL 28 1 X X 29
MARATHON FL 9 3 1 2 15 CEDAR KEY FL 15 3 1 1 20
MIAMI FL 10 3 2 1 16 ST MARKS FL 2 6 3 1 12
W PALM BEACH FL 12 3 2 1 18 APALACHICOLA FL 2 4 2 2 10
FT PIERCE FL 16 2 2 1 21 PANAMA CITY FL X 3 2 2 7
COCOA BEACH FL 17 3 1 1 22 PENSACOLA FL X X 1 1 2
DAYTONA BEACH FL 15 3 2 1 21 GULF 29N 85W 4 4 2 1 11
JACKSONVILLE FL 5 8 3 2 18 GULF 29N 87W X 1 1 1 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT
C FROM 8AM SAT TO 8PM SAT
D FROM 8PM SAT TO 8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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