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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU SEP 13 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SUN SEP 16 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
25.6N  86.2W      99  X  X  X 99   MARCO ISLAND FL    1  6  4  4 15
26.2N  86.2W      80  X  X  X 80   FT MYERS FL        2  6  4  4 16
27.0N  85.8W      27  1  1  1 30   VENICE FL          3  7  4  4 18
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  2  2   TAMPA FL           1  5  6  5 17
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  2  2   CEDAR KEY FL       X  2  7  6 15
MUHA 230N 824W     X  1  1  4  6   ST MARKS FL        X  1  5  8 14
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  1  3  4   APALACHICOLA FL    X  2  7  7 16
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  2  2   PANAMA CITY FL     X  1  7  7 15
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  3  3   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  5  7 12
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  2  5  7   MOBILE AL          X  X  3  7 10
MARATHON FL        X  2  3  4  9   GULFPORT MS        X  X  4  6 10
MIAMI FL           X  2  3  5 10   BURAS LA           X  2  5  5 12
W PALM BEACH FL    X  1  4  5 10   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  4  5  9
FT PIERCE FL       X  1  4  6 11   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  1  4  5
COCOA BEACH FL     X  1  4  7 12   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  2  2
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  4  8 12   GULF 29N 85W       1  5  7  5 18
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  2  8 10   GULF 29N 87W       1  6  7  4 18
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  7  7   GULF 28N 89W       4  7  5  2 18
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  4  4   GULF 28N 91W       X  4  5  3 12
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  2  3  5
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  2  2
KEY WEST FL        1  3  3  3 10
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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