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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED SEP 12 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT SAT SEP 15 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
25.6N 86.5W 99 X X X 99 FT MYERS FL 1 3 5 5 14
26.2N 86.6W 55 X X X 55 VENICE FL 1 4 5 5 15
27.0N 86.0W 33 X 1 X 34 TAMPA FL X 2 6 7 15
MUCF 221N 805W X X X 2 2 CEDAR KEY FL X 1 5 8 14
MUSN 216N 826W X X X 3 3 ST MARKS FL X X 5 9 14
MUHA 230N 824W 1 1 2 3 7 APALACHICOLA FL X 2 7 7 16
MUAN 219N 850W X 1 X 3 4 PANAMA CITY FL X 1 7 7 15
MYAK 241N 776W X X X 2 2 PENSACOLA FL X 1 6 7 14
MYNN 251N 775W X X X 2 2 MOBILE AL X 1 6 6 13
MYGF 266N 787W X X X 5 5 GULFPORT MS X 2 6 5 13
MARATHON FL X 2 3 4 9 BURAS LA 1 6 5 4 16
MIAMI FL X 1 2 5 8 NEW ORLEANS LA X 3 5 4 12
W PALM BEACH FL X X 2 6 8 NEW IBERIA LA X 1 3 4 8
FT PIERCE FL X X 2 7 9 PORT ARTHUR TX X X 1 2 3
COCOA BEACH FL X X 2 8 10 GALVESTON TX X X X 2 2
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 1 9 10 GULF 29N 85W 1 4 8 5 18
JACKSONVILLE FL X X 1 8 9 GULF 29N 87W 3 7 6 4 20
SAVANNAH GA X X X 6 6 GULF 28N 89W 9 8 3 1 21
CHARLESTON SC X X X 4 4 GULF 28N 91W 2 7 3 3 15
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 93W X 2 2 3 7
KEY WEST FL 1 3 3 3 10 GULF 28N 95W X X X 2 2
MARCO ISLAND FL 1 3 4 5 13
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
C FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI
D FROM 8PM FRI TO 8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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