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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED SEP 12 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT SAT SEP 15 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
26.2N  86.2W      99  X  X  X 99   FT MYERS FL        2  5  4  3 14
27.2N  86.1W      30  X  1  X 31   VENICE FL          5  7  3  2 17
27.9N  85.2W      19  3  1  2 25   TAMPA FL           3  8  4  3 18
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  3  3   CEDAR KEY FL       2  7  5  4 18
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  2  2   ST MARKS FL        X  5  6  5 16
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  2  2   APALACHICOLA FL    2  7  5  4 18
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  2  4  6   PANAMA CITY FL     1  6  5  5 17
MARATHON FL        X  X  2  4  6   PENSACOLA FL       X  2  6  5 13
MIAMI FL           X  1  2  5  8   MOBILE AL          X  1  4  6 11
W PALM BEACH FL    X  2  3  5 10   GULFPORT MS        X  1  4  5 10
FT PIERCE FL       X  3  4  5 12   BURAS LA           X  4  4  4 12
COCOA BEACH FL     X  4  4  5 13   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  1  3  5  9
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  4  5  5 14   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  2  3  5
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  1  6  6 13   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  2  2
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  1  8  9   GULF 29N 85W       6  8  4  2 20
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  6  6   GULF 29N 87W       4  9  4  2 19
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  4  4   GULF 28N 89W       4  9  3  2 18
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 91W       X  5  4  3 12
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 93W       X  1  2  2  5
KEY WEST FL        X  1  1  4  6   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  2  2
MARCO ISLAND FL    1  4  3  4 12
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
C FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
D FROM  2PM FRI TO  2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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