ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE SEP 11 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
25.4N 85.2W 99 X X X 99 MARCO ISLAND FL 5 5 3 3 16
26.0N 85.5W 64 X X X 64 FT MYERS FL 4 6 3 4 17
26.5N 85.5W 48 X X 1 49 VENICE FL 6 6 3 3 18
MUCF 221N 805W X X X 3 3 TAMPA FL 2 5 5 4 16
MUSN 216N 826W X X 1 3 4 CEDAR KEY FL X 3 5 6 14
MUHA 230N 824W 2 1 2 4 9 ST MARKS FL X 1 3 9 13
MUAN 219N 850W 1 1 1 4 7 APALACHICOLA FL X 2 5 7 14
MMCZ 205N 869W X X X 2 2 PANAMA CITY FL X 1 5 8 14
MYAK 241N 776W X X X 2 2 PENSACOLA FL X X 3 8 11
MYNN 251N 775W X X X 3 3 MOBILE AL X X 2 8 10
MYGF 266N 787W X X 1 6 7 GULFPORT MS X X 2 8 10
MMMD 210N 897W X X X 2 2 BURAS LA X 1 4 6 11
MARATHON FL 2 3 2 4 11 NEW ORLEANS LA X X 2 7 9
MIAMI FL 1 2 3 5 11 NEW IBERIA LA X X 1 5 6
W PALM BEACH FL X 2 3 6 11 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 2 2
FT PIERCE FL X 2 3 6 11 GALVESTON TX X X X 2 2
COCOA BEACH FL X 1 4 6 11 GULF 29N 85W 1 5 5 6 17
DAYTONA BEACH FL X 1 2 8 11 GULF 29N 87W 1 4 6 6 17
JACKSONVILLE FL X X 1 8 9 GULF 28N 89W 1 6 6 4 17
SAVANNAH GA X X X 6 6 GULF 28N 91W X 1 5 5 11
CHARLESTON SC X X X 4 4 GULF 28N 93W X X 2 3 5
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 95W X X X 2 2
KEY WEST FL 4 4 2 3 13
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM WED TO 2AM THU
C FROM 2AM THU TO 2PM THU
D FROM 2PM THU TO 2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN
Problems?
![[NCEP Logo]](/graphics/ncep.gif){kind=small}