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TROPICAL STORM FELIX PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE SEP 11 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FELIX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  48.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST FRI SEP 14 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
23.8N  49.8W      47  1  X  X 48   27.3N  49.4W       X 19  4  1 24
25.6N  50.0W       9 21  1  X 31
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
C FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
D FROM  8PM THU TO  8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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