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TROPICAL STORM FELIX PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE SEP 11 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FELIX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  48.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST FRI SEP 14 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
22.5N  49.5W      28  2  X  X 30   26.0N  50.0W       X 12  5  3 20
24.5N  50.0W       2 19  1  2 24
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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