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HURRICANE ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  49
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI SEP 14 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 44.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  55.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST MON SEP 17 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
51.0N  49.0W      27  X  X  X 27   CAPE RACE NFLD    43  X  X  X 43
BURGEO NFLD        2  X  X  X  2   HIBERNIA OILFLD   20  X  X  X 20
ILE ST PIERRE     16  X  X  X 16
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
C FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
D FROM  8AM SUN TO  8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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