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HURRICANE ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  44
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST THU SEP 13 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 38.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  60.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SUN SEP 16 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
41.6N  57.2W      25  1  X  X 26   SYDNEY NS          1  7  3  X 11
44.3N  54.8W       4 11  1  1 17   EDDY POINT NS      1  7  1  1 10
48.0N  52.0W       X  4  7  3 14   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  6  4  1 11
ST JOHN NB         X  1  X  1  2   BURGEO NFLD        X  7  5  1 13
MONCTON NB         X  1  2  X  3   ILE ST PIERRE      X 10  4  X 14
HALIFAX NS         1  3  2  X  6   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  8  5  1 14
SABLE ISLAND NS    8  6  1  X 15   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  1  6  4 11
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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