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HURRICANE ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  42
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED SEP 12 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 38.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  61.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SAT SEP 15 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
39.5N  59.2W      28  X  X  1 29   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  7  6  1 14
41.5N  57.0W       9 11  1  X 21   SYDNEY NS          X  X  6  4 10
44.0N  54.5W       X 10  6  1 17   EDDY POINT NS      X  1  5  3  9
BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  2  2   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  3  6  9
EASTPORT ME        X  X  1  2  3   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  4  6 10
ST JOHN NB         X  X  1  2  3   ILE ST PIERRE      X  1  7  5 13
MONCTON NB         X  X  1  3  4   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  1  9  4 14
YARMOUTH NS        X  X  2  2  4   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  6  6 12
HALIFAX NS         X  1  4  2  7
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
C FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
D FROM  2PM FRI TO  2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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