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HURRICANE ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  41
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED SEP 12 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 38.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SAT SEP 15 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
39.5N  59.0W      28  X  1  X 29   SYDNEY NS          X  1  3  4  8
41.0N  57.0W       8  9  1  1 19   EDDY POINT NS      X  1  3  4  8
43.0N  56.0W       1 10  3  2 16   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  3  4  7
ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  2  2   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  4  5  9
MONCTON NB         X  X  X  2  2   ILE ST PIERRE      X  1  5  5 11
YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  2  2   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  1  4  6 11
HALIFAX NS         X  1  1  3  5   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  1  5  6
SABLE ISLAND NS    1  6  3  3 13
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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