[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  38
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE SEP 11 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  64.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST FRI SEP 14 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
39.0N  61.7W      29  1  X  X 30   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  3  7  4 14
39.8N  59.5W       7 13  2  1 23   SYDNEY NS          X  X  2  7  9
41.0N  57.5W       X 10  6  2 18   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  4  5  9
EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  2  2   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  1  6  7
ST JOHN NB         X  X  1  1  2   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  1  7  8
MONCTON NB         X  X  1  2  3   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  1  9 10
YARMOUTH NS        X  1  1  2  4   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  9  9
HALIFAX NS         X  1  3  3  7   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  5  5
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
NNNN


Problems?