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HURRICANE ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  36
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE SEP 11 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  65.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST FRI SEP 14 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
38.8N  63.8W      25  1  1  X 27   HALIFAX NS         X  2  4  3  9
39.3N  61.7W       4 10  3  1 18   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  1  5  6 12
40.0N  59.3W       X  4  8  3 15   SYDNEY NS          X  X  2  7  9
BERMUDA            1  1  1  X  3   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  4  5  9
BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  1  1  2   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  7  7
EASTPORT ME        X  1  1  1  3   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  7  7
ST JOHN NB         X  1  2  2  5   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  7  7
MONCTON NB         X  X  2  3  5   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  5  5
YARMOUTH NS        1  3  2  1  7
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
C FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
D FROM  2AM THU TO  2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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