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HURRICANE ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  32
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON SEP 10 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  64.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST THU SEP 13 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
37.1N  64.8W      39  X  X  X 39   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  5  5
38.2N  63.2W       8  9  2  2 21   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  5  5
39.0N  61.0W       X  5  7  4 16   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  1  5  6
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  1  1  2   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  7  7
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  2  2  4   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  8  8
HYANNIS MA         X  X  2  1  3   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  5  5
BOSTON MA          X  X  1  1  2   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  6  6
PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  2  2   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  3  3
BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  1  3  4   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  2  2
EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  4  4   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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