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HURRICANE ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  31
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN SEP 09 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  63.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST WED SEP 12 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
36.0N  64.0W      38  X  X  X 38   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  4  4
37.0N  63.5W      18  3  1  X 22   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  4  4
38.2N  61.5W       X  6  7  3 16   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  4  4
BERMUDA            1  2  1  1  5   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  3  3
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  1  1  2   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  1  5  6
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  1  2  3   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  5  5
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  2  2  4   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  6  6
HYANNIS MA         X  X  1  3  4   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  3  3
BOSTON MA          X  X  1  2  3   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  4  4
PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  3  3   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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