[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN SEP 09 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST WED SEP 12 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
35.2N  65.2W      36  X  X  1 37   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  1  7  8
36.4N  65.5W      15  6  1  1 23   HYANNIS MA         X  X  1  6  7
37.2N  65.5W       4 11  2  3 20   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  5  5
BERMUDA           66  X  X  X 66   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  4  4
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  2  2   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  4  4
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  2  2   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  3  3
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  1  2  3   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  2  2
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  4  4   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  4  4
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  4  4   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  3  3
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  1  5  6   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  2  2
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  6  6
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
C FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
D FROM  8AM TUE TO  8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
NNNN


Problems?