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HURRICANE ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SAT SEP 08 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  60.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST TUE SEP 11 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
33.4N  63.7W      43  X  X  X 43   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  1  7  8
34.8N  65.2W      15 10  X  1 26   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  1  6  7
36.5N  66.0W       1 11  4  3 19   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  1  7  8
BERMUDA           36  X  X  X 36   HYANNIS MA         X  X  1  7  8
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  3  3   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  6  6
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  3  3   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  4  4
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  1  5  6   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  3  3
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  1  5  6   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  2  2
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  1  6  7   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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