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HURRICANE ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  26
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT SEP 08 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  60.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST TUE SEP 11 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
32.5N  64.5W      49  X  X  X 49   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  5  5
34.5N  65.0W      12 14  1  X 27   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  4  4
36.0N  66.0W       X 12  5  2 19   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  5  5
BERMUDA           49  X  X  X 49   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  4  4
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  2  2   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  5  5
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  3  3   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  4  4
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  3  3   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  3  3
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  5  5   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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