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TROPICAL STORM ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SAT SEP 08 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  59.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST TUE SEP 11 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.5N  61.7W      40  X  X  X 40   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  2  2
32.0N  63.0W      18  9  1  X 28   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2
33.5N  64.5W       1 16  4  2 23   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  2  2
BERMUDA            3 15  3  1 22
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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