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TROPICAL STORM ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT SEP 08 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  59.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST TUE SEP 11 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
29.4N  60.6W      38  X  X  X 38   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  2  2
31.0N  61.8W       8 16  1  X 25   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  2  2
32.5N  63.5W       X 11  7  2 20   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  2  2
BERMUDA            X  7  9  3 19   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
  
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