HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE SEP 04 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  53.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT FRI SEP  7 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
18.5N  58.0W      48  1  X  X 49   TNCM 181N 631W     X  2  5  3 10
20.0N  60.0W       9 26  X  X 35   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  1  3  4
21.5N  61.5W       X 20  7  1 28   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  1  4  5
TDPR 153N 614W     X  1  X  1  2   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X  3  3
TFFR 163N 615W     X  3  2  1  6   ST CROIX VI        X  X  1  3  4
TAPA 171N 618W     X  5  3  1  9   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  1  4  5
TKPK 173N 627W     X  2  3  2  7   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
C FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
D FROM  8AM THU TO  8AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN