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TROPICAL STORM ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE SEP 04 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  51.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT FRI SEP  7 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
18.9N  56.5W      49  X  X  X 49   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  X  3  3
20.4N  59.0W       1 32  X  1 34   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  1  3  4
21.7N  60.5W       X 18  7  1 26   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X  2  2
TFFR 163N 615W     X  1  1  2  4   ST CROIX VI        X  X  X  3  3
TAPA 171N 618W     X  1  3  2  6   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  1  3  4
TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  3  2  5   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X  2  2
TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  4  4  8
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
C FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
D FROM  2AM THU TO  2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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