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TROPICAL STORM ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON SEP 03 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  49.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT THU SEP  6 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
18.6N  54.5W      52  X  X  X 52   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  1  2  3
19.8N  57.0W       3 31  1  X 35   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  1  4  5
21.0N  59.0W       X 14 12  1 27   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  X  2  2
TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  1  1  2   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X  2  2
TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  2  2  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
C FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
D FROM  8PM WED TO  8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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