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TROPICAL STORM ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON SEP 03 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  47.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT THU SEP  6 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
17.7N  53.1W      48  X  X  X 48   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  1  4  5
18.8N  55.8W       1 33  X  X 34   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  X  4  4
20.2N  58.1W       X  8 18  1 27   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  X  5  5
TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  1  3  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
C FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
D FROM  2PM WED TO  2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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