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TROPICAL STORM ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN SEP 02 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  41.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT WED SEP  5 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
15.4N  46.2W      47  X  X  X 47   TDPR 153N 614W     X  X  X  2  2
16.1N  48.7W      11 21  1  X 33   TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  X  3  3
17.0N  51.3W       X 16  9  1 26   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  X  3  3
TBPB 131N 595W     X  X  X  2  2   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  X  2  2
TFFF 146N 610W     X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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