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TROPICAL STORM ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN SEP 02 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  39.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT WED SEP  5 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
15.1N  44.7W      47  X  X  1 48   16.8N  49.8W       X 16  9  1 26
16.0N  47.2W      12 22  X  X 34
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
C FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
D FROM  8AM TUE TO  8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
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