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TROPICAL STORM ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN SEP 02 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  38.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT WED SEP  5 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
14.5N  43.8W      44  X  X  1 45   15.8N  49.1W       X 15  8  1 24
15.1N  46.5W       8 23  X  X 31
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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