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TROPICAL STORM DEAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST THU AUG 23 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SUN AUG 26 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
24.1N  72.5W      51  X  X  X 51   BERMUDA            X  X  X  4  4
26.1N  72.5W      17 20  X  X 37   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  2  2
27.9N  71.7W       X 21  7  1 29   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  4  4
MBJT 215N 712W    79  X  X  X 79   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  6  6
MYMM 224N 730W    43  X  X  X 43   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  3  3
MYSM 241N 745W    20  6  X  X 26   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  2  2
MYEG 235N 758W     2  5  1  X  8
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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