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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT THU AUG 23 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
19.5N  90.5W      45  X  X  X 45   MMMD 210N 897W    20  2  X  1 23
20.0N  92.0W      21  7  1  X 29   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  2  2
20.5N  93.5W       1 20  2  1 24   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  2  2
MMCZ 205N 869W     8  X  X  1  9   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  3  3
MZBZ 175N 883W    56  X  X  X 56   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  1  7  8
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  3  9 12   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  2  2
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  7  8 15   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  3  3
MMTX 210N 974W     X  1  9  6 16   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  5  5
MMVR 192N 961W     X  5  7  4 16   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  2  9 11
MMFR 185N 926W    17  3  1  1 22
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM TUE TO  1AM WED
C FROM  1AM WED TO  1PM WED
D FROM  1PM WED TO  1PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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