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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT MON AUG 20 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT THU AUG 23 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
19.5N  88.5W      42  X  X  X 42   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  2  2
20.6N  90.3W       5 23  1  X 29   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  3  3
21.3N  92.0W       X 19  4  1 24   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  3  3
MUAN 219N 850W     1  X  1  1  3   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  4  4
MMCZ 205N 869W    26  X  X  1 27   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  5  5
MZBZ 175N 883W    35  X  X  X 35   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  9  9
MHNJ 165N 859W    45  X  X  X 45   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  2  2
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  1 10 11   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  3  3
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  2 10 12   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  5  5
MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  3  9 12   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  5  5
MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  4  7 11   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  8  8
MMFR 185N 926W     1  8  3  3 15   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  2 10 12
MMMD 210N 897W     5 22  1  X 28
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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