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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN AUG 19 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT WED AUG 22 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
18.0N  86.0W      45  X  X  X 45   BURAS LA           X  X  X  2  2
19.0N  88.0W       9 23  X  X 32   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  2  2
20.5N  90.0W       X 11 15  1 27   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  2  2
MUAN 219N 850W     1  6  2  X  9   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  4  4
MMCZ 205N 869W     5 21  X  X 26   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  4  4
MZBZ 175N 883W    11 14  X  X 25   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  4  4
MGPB 157N 886W     2  5  1  X  8   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  4  4
MHNJ 165N 859W    32  X  X  X 32   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  6  6
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  X  5  5   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  3  3
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  X  5  5   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  6  6
MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  X  5  5   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  7  7
MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  X  5  5   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  6  6
MMFR 185N 926W     X  1  9  4 14   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  7  7
MMMD 210N 897W     X 10 16  1 27   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  X 10 10
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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