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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN AUG 19 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  80.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT WED AUG 22 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
17.7N  84.4W      46  X  X  X 46   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  2  2
19.0N  86.5W       6 25  X  1 32   BURAS LA           X  X  X  4  4
20.5N  88.5W       X 12 13  1 26   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  3  3
MWCG 193N 814W     9  1  X  X 10   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  4  4
MUSN 216N 826W     X  4  1  X  5   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  3  3
MUHA 230N 824W     X  1  X  1  2   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  4  4
MUAN 219N 850W     X 11  5  X 16   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  4  4
MMCZ 205N 869W     X 24  3  X 27   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  3  3
MZBZ 175N 883W     1 16  2  X 19   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  2  2
MGPB 157N 886W     X  4  2  1  7   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  3  3
MHNJ 165N 859W    19  4  X  X 23   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  2  2
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  7  7
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  9  9
MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  9  9
MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  6  6
MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  3  6  9   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  6  6
MMMD 210N 897W     X  3 18  2 23   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  X  7  7
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
C FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
D FROM  8AM TUE TO  8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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