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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN AUG 19 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT WED AUG 22 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
17.7N 84.4W 46 X X X 46 GULFPORT MS X X X 2 2
19.0N 86.5W 6 25 X 1 32 BURAS LA X X X 4 4
20.5N 88.5W X 12 13 1 26 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 3 3
MWCG 193N 814W 9 1 X X 10 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 4 4
MUSN 216N 826W X 4 1 X 5 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 3 3
MUHA 230N 824W X 1 X 1 2 GALVESTON TX X X X 4 4
MUAN 219N 850W X 11 5 X 16 FREEPORT TX X X X 4 4
MMCZ 205N 869W X 24 3 X 27 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 3 3
MZBZ 175N 883W 1 16 2 X 19 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X X 2 2
MGPB 157N 886W X 4 2 1 7 BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 3 3
MHNJ 165N 859W 19 4 X X 23 GULF 29N 87W X X X 2 2
MMSO 238N 982W X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 89W X X X 7 7
MMTM 222N 979W X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 91W X X X 9 9
MMTX 210N 974W X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 93W X X X 9 9
MMVR 192N 961W X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 95W X X X 6 6
MMFR 185N 926W X X 3 6 9 GULF 27N 96W X X X 6 6
MMMD 210N 897W X 3 18 2 23 GULF 25N 96W X X X 7 7
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM MON TO 8PM MON
C FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE
D FROM 8AM TUE TO 8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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