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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN AUG 19 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT WED AUG 22 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
16.7N  82.4W      46  X  X  X 46   MGPB 157N 886W     X  1  5  3  9
17.6N  84.4W      11 20  X  X 31   MHNJ 165N 859W     1 18  2  1 22
18.9N  86.3W       X 15 10  1 26   MNPC 141N 834W     3  2  X  X  5
MWCG 193N 814W    11  6  X  X 17   MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  X  6  6
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  1  1  2   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  5 13 18
MUSN 216N 826W     X  4  5  2 11   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  2  2
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  3  2  5   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  4  4
MUAN 219N 850W     X  2 12  4 18   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  3  3
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  2 18  3 23   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  2  2
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  2 12  3 17
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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