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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT AUG 18 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT TUE AUG 21 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
17.2N  84.2W      47  X  X  X 47   MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  X  2  2
18.0N  86.2W      11 21  1  X 33   MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  1  8  9
19.3N  87.8W       X 20  8  1 29   MMMD 210N 897W     X  1 16  6 23
MWCG 193N 814W     8  1  X  X  9   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  2  2
MUSN 216N 826W     X  1  1  1  3   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  3  3
MUAN 219N 850W     X  5  6  2 13   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  4  4
MMCZ 205N 869W     X 17  8  1 26   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  4  4
MZBZ 175N 883W     X 16  5  1 22   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  3  3
MGPB 157N 886W     X  5  5  1 11   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  3  3
MHNJ 165N 859W    20  8  X  1 29   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  X  5  5
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
  
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