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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT AUG 18 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  76.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT TUE AUG 21 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
17.0N  82.5W      47  1  X  X 48   MNPC 141N 834W     2  1  X  X  3
18.5N  85.5W       X 36  X  X 36   MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  1  5  6
20.0N  87.5W       X 14 13  1 28   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X 17  5 22
MKJP 179N 768W     3  X  X  X  3   BURAS LA           X  X  X  2  2
MKJS 185N 779W     2  X  X  X  2   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  2  2
MWCG 193N 814W    20  4  X  X 24   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  2  2
MUSN 216N 826W     X  5  2  1  8   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  5  5
MUHA 230N 824W     X  1  X  1  2   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  6  6
MUAN 219N 850W     X 10  7  2 19   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  5  5
MMCZ 205N 869W     X 17 11  1 29   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  3  3
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  6  9  2 17   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  3  3
MGPB 157N 886W     X  1  3  2  6   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  X  4  4
MHNJ 165N 859W     1 20  X  1 22
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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