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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SAT AUG 18 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  73.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST TUE AUG 21 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
17.0N  80.0W      46  X  X  X 46   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  4  9  2 15
18.0N  82.5W       4 28  X  X 32   MNPC 141N 834W     X  2  1  1  4
19.5N  85.0W       X  8 18  1 27   MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  X  3  3
MKJP 179N 768W    33  X  X  X 33   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  2 14 16
MKJS 185N 779W    28  X  X  X 28   MARATHON FL        X  X  1  1  2
MWCG 193N 814W     4 24  1  X 29   KEY WEST FL        X  X  2  2  4
MUCF 221N 805W     X  3  4  X  7   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  2  2
MUSN 216N 826W     X  6 12  1 19   BURAS LA           X  X  X  2  2
MUHA 230N 824W     X  1  8  2 11   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  2  2
MUAN 219N 850W     X  1 17  4 22   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  5  5
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X 16  6 22   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  4  4
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  5  7 12   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  2  2
MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  1  3  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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