ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM AST FRI AUG 17 2001 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.2 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST MON AUG 20 2001 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 16.2N 75.5W 47 1 X X 48 MUSN 216N 826W X X 11 8 19 17.1N 78.4W 2 32 1 X 35 MUHA 230N 824W X X 4 9 13 18.0N 81.3W X 8 20 X 28 MUAN 219N 850W X X 2 16 18 MDCB 176N 714W 9 X X X 9 MMCZ 205N 869W X X X 18 18 MTPP 186N 724W 4 X X X 4 MZBZ 175N 883W X X X 10 10 MTCA 183N 738W 19 2 X X 21 MGPB 157N 886W X X X 4 4 MKJP 179N 768W 11 25 X X 36 MHNJ 165N 859W X X 1 11 12 MKJS 185N 779W 1 30 1 X 32 MNPC 141N 834W X X 2 4 6 MWCG 193N 814W X 4 23 X 27 MMMD 210N 897W X X X 11 11 MUGM 200N 751W 1 5 1 X 7 MARATHON FL X X X 3 3 MUCM 214N 779W X 3 6 1 10 KEY WEST FL X X 1 4 5 MUCF 221N 805W X X 10 3 13 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8PM SAT TO 8AM SUN C FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN D FROM 8PM SUN TO 8PM MON E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER LAWRENCE NNNN