HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI AUG 17 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  67.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST MON AUG 20 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
15.5N  74.5W      47  1  X  X 48   MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  6 11 17
16.5N  78.0W       X 34  X  X 34   MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  2 10 12
17.5N  81.0W       X  5 21  1 27   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  1 15 16
SKPG 125N 717W     2  X  X  X  2   MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X 15 15
MDCB 176N 714W     8  X  X  X  8   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X  7  7
MTPP 186N 724W     3  1  X  X  4   MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  3  3
MTCA 183N 738W    11  5  1  X 17   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  1 10 11
MKJP 179N 768W     1 31  X  X 32   MNPC 141N 834W     X  X  3  5  8
MKJS 185N 779W     X 25  3  X 28   SKSP 126N 817W     X  X  2  1  3
MWCG 193N 814W     X  1 21  2 24   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  7  7
MUGM 200N 751W     X  5  1  X  6   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  4  4
MUCM 214N 779W     X  2  5  1  8   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  6  6
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  6  6 12   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
C FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
D FROM  2PM SUN TO  2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN