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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU AUG 16 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST SUN AUG 19 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
13.5N 65.5W 48 3 X X 51 MKJP 179N 768W X X 7 17 24
14.5N 70.0W X 34 2 1 37 MKJS 185N 779W X X 2 20 22
16.0N 74.0W X 1 26 1 28 MWCG 193N 814W X X X 17 17
SKPG 125N 717W X 6 8 X 14 MUGM 200N 751W X X 5 12 17
TNCC 122N 690W X 17 1 X 18 MUCM 214N 779W X X X 13 13
SVMG 110N 640W 5 X X X 5 MUCF 221N 805W X X X 10 10
TTPT 112N 608W 4 X X X 4 MUSN 216N 826W X X X 9 9
TGPY 120N 618W 32 X X X 32 MUHA 230N 824W X X X 5 5
TBPB 131N 595W 88 X X X 88 MUAN 219N 850W X X X 4 4
TVSV 131N 612W 80 X X X 80 MMCZ 205N 869W X X X 2 2
TLPL 138N 610W 81 X X X 81 TJSJ 184N 661W X 2 X X 2
TFFF 146N 610W 54 X X X 54 MDPP 198N 707W X X 6 1 7
TDPR 153N 614W 22 X X X 22 MBJT 215N 712W X X 1 1 2
TFFR 163N 615W 2 X X X 2 MYMM 224N 730W X X X 2 2
TISX 177N 648W 1 1 X X 2 MYEG 235N 758W X X X 2 2
TJPS 180N 666W X 4 1 X 5 MYAK 241N 776W X X X 2 2
MDSD 185N 697W X 5 7 1 13 ST CROIX VI 1 1 X X 2
MDCB 176N 714W X 6 19 1 26 SAN JUAN PR X 2 X X 2
MTPP 186N 724W X 1 18 1 20 PONCE PR X 4 1 X 5
MTCA 183N 738W X X 20 4 24
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
C FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT
D FROM 2PM SAT TO 2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
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